Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Shenzhen — specifically at the Bao'an International Airport weather station? There are three options: 30°C, 31°C, or 32°C (roughly 86°F, 88°F, and 90°F). You are not picking a range — you are picking an exact whole-number peak temperature for that single day. Whichever degree reading matches the recorded daily high wins. After June 13, 2026 ends, the market settles using the highest temperature logged that day on Weather Underground's page for Shenzhen Bao'an Airport (station code ZGSZ). The reading must be in whole degrees Celsius — no decimals. It locks in once the first data point for June 14 appears on that page. Any late corrections to the June 13 data before that cutoff count; corrections after it do not. Whichever option — 30°C, 31°C, or 32°C — matches that final recorded peak wins. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That is fairly normal for a weather question set more than a year in the future. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal weather outlooks for southern China in early June, and any forecasts specifically for the Shenzhen area in the days leading up to June 13, 2026. Weather a full year out is genuinely hard to pin down — even professional meteorologists cannot reliably forecast a specific city's daily high that far ahead. June in Shenzhen is hot and humid, with typical highs in the 30–33°C range, which is why the market clusters around those values. But any single day can run cooler due to rain or cloud cover, or hotter during a heat spell. The three options are close together — just two degrees apart — so even a small forecast error means the difference between winning and losing.

The odds right now

• 31°C37%
• 30°C30%
• 32°C18%
• 29°C10%
• 33°C4%
• 28°C4%
• 34°C1%
• 35°C or higher0%
• 27°C0%
• 25°C or below0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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