Highest temperature in Singapore on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will the single hottest temperature reading of the day be at Singapore's Changi Airport weather station? The three options are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — roughly the range between a warm tropical afternoon and a very hot one. Singapore sits near the equator, so temperatures rarely swing wildly, but a few degrees can matter here. The market currently leans toward 32°C as the most likely outcome, with 31°C as the second choice. After June 12, 2026 ends locally in Singapore, whoever runs this market checks one specific source — the Weather Underground page for Singapore Changi Airport (WSSS) — and reads off the highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. Whichever bracket (31°C, 32°C, 33°C) contains that number wins. One important detail: the reading is locked in once the first data point for June 13 appears on that site. Any corrections to June 12's data published after that cutoff are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's fairly normal for a weather question set a year out — there's simply nothing to report yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal forecasts for Singapore in early June, any El Niño or La Niña conditions active at the time, and the daily weather pattern in the days leading up to June 12. Singapore's climate is famously consistent, which makes this market tighter than most weather questions — but that consistency is exactly what makes the last few degrees hard to pin down. June sits in a transitional monsoon period, so a passing rain shower can drop peak temperatures by a degree or two, while a clear, sunny afternoon can push them toward 33°C or beyond. A year is also a long time: seasonal climate patterns, urban heat trends, and simple day-to-day randomness all add genuine noise to any forecast this far out.

The odds right now

• 32°C41%
• 31°C25%
• 33°C17%
• 30°C11%
• 29°C2%
• 34°C2%
• 35°C or higher1%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 25°C or below0%
• 26°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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