Highest temperature in Singapore on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of the day be in Singapore on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the right temperature from three options — 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C — for the single highest reading of the day at Singapore's Changi Airport weather station. Think of it like guessing the peak of a thermometer on one specific afternoon. The market currently leans toward 32°C as the most likely answer, with 31°C and 33°C as real possibilities. The market settles — resolves — once the full day's weather data for June 14, 2026 appears on Weather Underground's page for Changi Airport. Whoever checks that page takes the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, and that number decides the winner. One important detail: the data can update slightly during the day, and those updates count — but once the first reading for June 15 appears, the number is locked in and no later corrections will be considered. The news items provided — about political commentary, education, and Middle East diplomacy — have no connection to Singapore's weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. What would actually matter to watch is any short-range weather forecast for Singapore around June 14, or reports of unusual heat or rain patterns in the region in the days leading up to that date. Singapore's daily high temperatures are genuinely clustered in a narrow band — 31°C to 33°C covers a pretty typical range for the island year-round — which is exactly why this is hard to call. A passing rain shower can cap the day's peak several degrees lower than expected; a clear, humid afternoon can push it higher. The market is spread across three options with no overwhelming favorite, reflecting that even a good forecast can't reliably nail a single-degree outcome a year in advance. Weather is the whole uncertainty here.

The odds right now

• 32°C50%
• 33°C28%
• 31°C14%
• 34°C5%
• 30°C2%
• 35°C or higher1%
• 25°C or below0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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