Highest temperature in Taipei on June 11?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 11, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Taipei, measured at Songshan Airport? The options are specific whole-number degrees Celsius — right now the front-runner is 25°C (about 77°F), followed by 24°C (about 75°F), then 26°C (about 79°F). It's a simple weather question: pick the peak temperature for that one day in that one city. After June 11, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for Taipei Songshan Airport Station and looks at the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole degree Celsius. Whichever temperature bucket that number falls into wins. One small catch: if Weather Underground revises its readings before the first data point of June 12 appears, the updated number counts — but corrections published after that cutoff are ignored. The only recent headline provided is about SpaceX, which has no connection to Taipei weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would genuinely matter is a seasonal weather forecast for Taiwan in early June — particularly whether conditions look hotter or cooler than average for that time of year. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this market closes over a year from now. June in Taipei is early summer — warm and humid, with temperatures that year to year can shift several degrees depending on wind patterns, cloud cover, and whether a typhoon or rain system is nearby. The gap between the top options is small (24°C vs 25°C vs 26°C is a single degree each way), so even a slightly unusual day could easily tip the result.

The odds right now

• 24°C71%
• 25°C11%
• 26°C11%
• 27°C1%
• 28°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 31°C0%
• 23°C or below0%
• 30°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 11, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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