Highest temperature in Taipei on June 12?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 12, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day in Taipei? The three options are 25°C (77°F), 26°C (79°F), or 27°C (81°F) — all fairly close together, covering a range of roughly 'warm summer day' to 'quite hot summer day' by Taipei standards. Whichever single degree matches the official high reading that day wins. It's essentially a weather forecast question focused on a narrow temperature window. The market settles — meaning it gets its final Yes or No answer — based on the highest temperature recorded at Taipei's Songshan Airport weather station on June 12, 2026, as reported by the website Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 13 appears on that site, so late corrections to the June 12 data won't count after that cutoff. Whichever option (25°C, 26°C, or 27°C) matches that final reading is the winner. No recent news was provided that relates to this market. That's not unusual — a weather question about a specific day over a year away wouldn't have relevant news yet. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal forecasts for Taipei in early June, any unusual weather patterns in the region, and eventually the short-range forecast for that specific day as it approaches. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a few days out, let alone more than a year away. The three options here are clustered within just 3 degrees of each other, which makes this especially sensitive to small variations — a passing cloud, a sea breeze, or a slightly different weather system could easily shift the outcome by one degree. Early June in Taipei is the start of the rainy season, which adds more natural variability. The market currently spreads probability fairly evenly across all three options, reflecting real uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 27°C44%
• 26°C26%
• 28°C20%
• 29°C2%
• 31°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 32°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 24°C or below0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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