Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 16, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Taipei, measured at a specific airport weather station? The options shown — 29°C, 30°C, 31°C, and presumably others — represent different temperature buckets, and whichever one contains the actual recorded peak temperature wins. In practical terms, 29–31°C is a warm but typical early-summer day in Taipei, roughly 84–88°F, the kind of humid heat the city sees regularly in June. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded at Taipei Songshan Airport Station on June 16, 2026, pulled from the weather history site Wunderground. The temperature is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 29.7°C would count as 30°C, for example. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 17 appears on that site. Any corrections Wunderground makes before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. No recent news relevant to this market was provided. The only headline in the feed is about a festival in Wilmington, which has no connection to Taipei weather. The kind of news that would actually matter here is a regional weather forecast or climate outlook for Taiwan in mid-June 2026 — none of which is available yet. Weather is genuinely hard to pin down a year in advance. The market currently splits fairly evenly between 29°C and 30°C, each at 32%, which honestly reflects how close those outcomes are — one degree can hinge on a passing cloud, a sea breeze, or a brief rain shower. June in Taipei is also typhoon-adjacent season, meaning an unexpected storm could push temperatures in either direction. A single weather station reading on a single day leaves very little margin for error in any prediction.

The odds right now

• 30°C33%
• 29°C21%
• 31°C18%
• 28°C11%
• 32°C6%
• 33°C3%
• 27°C2%
• 26°C1%
• 34°C1%
• 25°C or below0%
• 35°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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