Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the hottest moment of June 14, 2026 feel like at the airport near Tel Aviv? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature for that single day — with three options: 28°C (about 82°F), 29°C (about 84°F), or 30°C (about 86°F). The market currently thinks 29°C is most likely, with 30°C as the second choice and 28°C as the least likely. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading recorded by NOAA at Ben Gurion International Airport on June 14, 2026, measured in whole degrees Celsius. Whichever option — 28, 29, or 30 — contains that peak reading wins. The result is pulled from a specific NOAA webpage, and it can only be confirmed once the first data point from June 15 appears on that page, locking in the final number. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The one headline listed doesn't appear to contain information about Tel Aviv temperatures. To track this question, the most useful thing to watch would be weather forecasts for the Tel Aviv and Ben Gurion Airport area as June 14 approaches. June weather in Tel Aviv is fairly stable — early summer there tends to be warm and dry — which is why the market is clustered tightly around just three degrees. The main uncertainty is natural day-to-day variation: a sea breeze, a slight shift in regional air patterns, or an unusually warm spell could nudge the peak reading one degree in either direction. One degree is a very small margin, so even a small surprise can change the outcome.

The odds right now

• 29°C70%
• 30°C21%
• 28°C11%
• 31°C1%
• 27°C or below0%
• 32°C0%
• 33°C0%
• 34°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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