Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like at Tokyo's Haneda Airport — specifically, will the peak temperature land at 26°C (about 79°F), 27°C (about 81°F), or 28°C (about 82°F)? Those three ranges cover a fairly narrow band of warm early-summer weather. A "Yes" for any one option simply means the thermometer hits that exact degree as its daily high — not a range, just that single whole number. At the end of June 13, 2026, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground page for Tokyo Haneda Airport and reads the single highest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever option — 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C — matches that number wins. One important edge case: if the actual high falls outside all three options (say, 25°C or 29°C), none of the listed outcomes would cover it, so watch for whether additional options exist on the full market page. No recent news was provided that is relevant to Tokyo's weather on June 13, 2026. The one headline listed — about an educational partnership — has no connection to this question. What would actually matter here is a reliable weather forecast for Tokyo issued a few days before June 13, or historical climate data showing what temperatures are typical for that date. Even with a good forecast, daily high temperatures are genuinely hard to pin down to a single degree. The market is split almost evenly between 26°C and 27°C at 39% each, which honestly reflects how tight this call is. A passing cloud, a sea breeze off Tokyo Bay, or a slightly stronger high-pressure system could shift the peak by one or two degrees. June 13 is also right on the edge of Japan's rainy season, which can suppress heat — or break suddenly, letting temperatures spike.

The odds right now

• 27°C40%
• 26°C36%
• 28°C19%
• 25°C6%
• 29°C3%
• 30°C1%
• 31°C or higher0%
• 21°C or below0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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