Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the warmest moment of June 16, 2026 feel like in Wellington, New Zealand — specifically, will the day's peak temperature hit 11°C, 12°C, or 13°C? Think of it as predicting the high on a winter afternoon in a famously windy southern city. June is mid-winter in New Zealand, so these are cold but realistic numbers. The market is simply asking you to pick the correct single-degree bucket for that day's peak reading. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at Wellington International Airport on June 16, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever option — 11°C, 12°C, or 13°C — matches that recorded peak wins. The temperature is rounded to a whole degree, so 12.7°C would count as 12°C, not 13°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from June 17 appears on the site; any late corrections to the June 16 reading after that cutoff are ignored. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. That's normal this far out — weather forecasts this specific aren't meaningful a year in advance. What would matter closer to the date: seasonal outlooks for New Zealand's winter, or any forecast for Wellington specifically in the days leading up to June 16, 2026. A year out, no weather model can tell you the high temperature on a specific day to within one degree — that precision is genuinely impossible this far in advance. Wellington's weather is notoriously changeable, shaped by its exposed coastal position and the Cook Strait winds. The spread across 11°C, 12°C, and 13°C is tight, meaning a single degree separates all three outcomes. The market currently leans toward 12°C, but the honest answer is that this remains wide open until the week of the event.

The odds right now

• 12°C46%
• 11°C25%
• 13°C24%
• 14°C5%
• 10°C2%
• 15°C1%
• 9°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 8°C0%
• 7°C or below0%
• 17°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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