Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on June 13, 2026, what will the hottest temperature of the day be in Wuhan, China? Wuhan is a large city in central China with hot, humid summers — mid-June typically brings warm weather, often in the high 20s to low 30s Celsius (think 77–90°F). A 'Yes' on 27°C means the peak temperature that day hits exactly 27 degrees Celsius; each option is a single whole-number degree, and whichever one matches the recorded high wins. The market settles based on the single highest temperature reading logged at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on June 13, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. The reading must be in whole degrees Celsius — so 27.4°C would count as 27°C. The result is only confirmed after the first data point for June 14 appears on that site, locking in any last-minute revisions. After that cutoff, no further corrections to the June 13 data will be considered. No recent news relevant to this market was provided — the one headline is about an unrelated education partnership. That is not surprising: daily weather forecasts this far in advance simply do not exist yet. The kind of information that would matter is a detailed 10-day forecast for Wuhan issued closer to June 13, or broader news about unusual heat or cold patterns in central China that week. Weather is genuinely difficult to predict, and the spread across three closely bunched options (25°C, 26°C, 27°C) reflects that honestly. The market prices all three as plausible, with no dominant favourite. June in Wuhan can swing based on passing rain systems, cloud cover, or wind direction — small differences that no model predicts weeks out. There are also options beyond these three that hold the remaining probability, meaning the day could end up warmer or cooler than any of the top three choices.

The odds right now

• 25°C40%
• 26°C31%
• 27°C14%
• 28°C4%
• 24°C3%
• 29°C or higher2%
• 19°C or below0%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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