Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Wuhan get on June 15, 2026? Specifically, it's asking you to pick the peak temperature for that single day — the highest reading the thermometer hits before midnight. The three options are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C (roughly 88°F, 90°F, and 91°F). Think of it as guessing the afternoon high on one specific summer day in central China. It settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on June 15, 2026, as logged on Weather Underground — a public weather data site. The reading is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever option (31°C, 32°C, or 33°C) matches that number wins. The market waits until the first data point from June 16 appears before finalizing, so any late corrections to June 15 readings made before that cutoff still count. No relevant news was provided for this market. That's completely normal — daily weather forecasts for a specific city a year away simply don't exist yet. What would matter closer to the date: extended weather forecasts for Wuhan in mid-June, any regional heat-wave alerts for central China, or historical temperature records for that time of year. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a week out, let alone a year. June in Wuhan is hot and humid, so the 31–33°C range is historically plausible — the market's spread across three options reflects real uncertainty. A single passing storm could drop the high by a degree or two; a heat dome could push it above 33°C entirely. The market currently leans toward 32°C at 42%, but with a full year to go, that's a wide-open question.

The odds right now

• 33°C43%
• 34°C22%
• 32°C11%
• 35°C6%
• 36°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 29°C0%
• 30°C0%
• 31°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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