How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

What you need to know

This market is asking how much money SpaceX will collect when it sells shares to the public for the first time — its IPO. The answer options are dollar ranges: under $70 billion, $70–80 billion, or $80–90 billion. The question is not about the company's total value, but specifically the amount investors paid for shares at the moment the IPO was priced. Think of it like asking how much cash came in the door on opening day. The market settles based on the total gross proceeds — the raw dollar amount raised from selling shares — as stated in the official document SpaceX files with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission called the final prospectus. Extra shares sold through a mechanism called a 'greenshoe' (a common IPO tool that lets underwriters sell a few more shares if demand is very high) are not counted. If SpaceX never completes an IPO before December 31, 2026, the market automatically resolves to the lowest bracket ($60–70 billion) regardless of the reason. According to headlines from June 12, 2026, SpaceX appears to have completed its IPO, with reports citing a figure of $75 billion raised and describing massive investor demand. If accurate, a $75 billion result falls squarely in the $70–80 billion range. This would explain why that bracket is currently priced at 99% — the market is essentially treating the event as already confirmed, pending official documentation from the SEC filing. At 99%, the market is not treating this as a real toss-up — it is almost entirely pricing in the $70–80 billion outcome as settled fact. The honest remaining uncertainty is small but real: the official SEC prospectus hasn't necessarily been cited directly, headlines can occasionally misreport final numbers, and the greenshoe exclusion in the rules could shift the precise total. The main question is not whether SpaceX had its IPO, but whether the final, officially filed number lands exactly where the news reported.

The odds right now

• 70-80B+21.3 pts (1w)99%
• 60-70B-2.8 pts (1w)0%
• 80-90B-7.6 pts (1w)0%
• 50-60B-1.8 pts (1w)0%
• 40-50B-0.2 pts (1w)0%
• 100-110B-2.3 pts (1w)0%
• 90-100B-6.3 pts (1w)0%
• <40B-0.7 pts (1w)0%
• 110-120B-1.5 pts (1w)0%
• 120B+-1.6 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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