Lowest temperature in NYC on June 13?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on the night and morning of June 13, 2026, how cold will it get in New York City? Specifically, it asks which 2-degree band will contain the single coldest temperature reading of the whole day at LaGuardia Airport — the official measuring station for NYC weather. A result of 72–73°F means a warm June night; 68–69°F would mean a noticeably cooler dip. After June 13, 2026 ends, whoever runs the market checks the Weather Underground page for LaGuardia Airport and finds the single lowest temperature recorded that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Fahrenheit. Whichever 2-degree range that number falls into wins. The check only happens once the first data point for June 14 appears on that page — so any late corrections to June 13 readings made after that cutoff are ignored. No relevant weather news was provided. What would actually matter here is a forecast for New York City around June 13, 2026 — particularly whether any cold front or unusual weather pattern is expected to push overnight temperatures below their typical June range. Without a forecast that close to the date, historical averages are the main guide. Mid-June overnight lows in NYC cluster in the low-to-mid 70s°F, which is why the market heavily prices the 72–73°F range at 91%. The main uncertainty is simple: weather forecasting more than a few days out is genuinely unreliable, and a single passing cold front could push temperatures a few degrees lower. The question is really whether something unusual happens, not a two-sided debate — the market reflects that clearly.

The odds right now

• 72-73°F95%
• 70-71°F4%
• 68-69°F3%
• 66-67°F1%
• 63°F or below0%
• 64-65°F0%
• 74-75°F0%
• 76-77°F0%
• 78-79°F0%
• 80-81°F0%
• 82°F or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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