Lowest temperature in Paris on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple weather question: what was the coldest temperature recorded at Paris's Le Bourget Airport on June 14, 2026? The market offers three possible answers — 11°C, 12°C, or 13°C — and the one matching the actual overnight low wins. Think of it as picking the coldest reading on a thermometer at a specific Paris weather station on a specific day in June. The market settles based on one specific data source: the Weather Underground page for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB), which reports temperatures in whole degrees Celsius. Whatever the lowest temperature shown there for June 14, 2026 turns out to be, the matching bracket wins. The market can only close after the first reading for June 15 appears, locking in the final June 14 low. Temperature corrections made before that cutoff count; anything revised afterward does not. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market. They are all about higher education topics with no connection to Paris weather. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would matter is a weather forecast or meteorological report for Paris around June 14, 2026. Right now the market prices 13°C at essentially 100%, meaning participants are highly confident that bracket wins. Early June nights in Paris typically sit in the 12–15°C range, so 13°C is broadly consistent with historical patterns. The main remaining uncertainty is simply whether an unexpected cold spell, a heat wave, or an unusual weather system shifts the actual reading by a degree or two in either direction. A one-degree difference is all it takes to change the outcome entirely.

The odds right now

• 13°C100%
• 11°C0%
• 12°C0%
• 10°C0%
• 9°C or below0%
• 14°C0%
• 15°C0%
• 16°C0%
• 17°C0%
• 18°C0%
• 19°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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