Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the coldest moment of the day in Seoul on June 14, 2026? Specifically, it uses the weather station at Incheon International Airport as its measuring point — that's the main international airport serving Seoul. The question is broken into temperature buckets: 19°C, 20°C, or 21°C (roughly 66–70°F). Whichever bucket contains the actual overnight low that day wins. Think of it as guessing the coldest reading on a thermometer at a specific spot, at any point during that 24-hour period. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market checks Weather Underground's historical data page for the Incheon Airport station and reads the single lowest temperature recorded that day, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. Whatever bucket that number falls into — 19°C, 20°C, or 21°C — is the winner. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point for June 15 appears before officially settling, to make sure the full day's readings are in. Any corrections to the data made before that June 15 cutoff count; corrections made after do not. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. Because the event is over a year away, there's nothing meaningful to report yet. What would matter closer to the date: long-range weather forecasts for Seoul in mid-June, and any unusual climate patterns affecting the Korean Peninsula that season. Weather is genuinely hard to predict even a week out — predicting a specific temperature reading 12+ months away is much harder. Mid-June in Seoul is the start of the pre-monsoon season, when overnight lows typically sit in the high teens to low twenties Celsius, which is exactly why the three buckets (19, 20, 21) are so tightly clustered and roughly equally priced. A single warm or cool night, an early monsoon arrival, or unusual wind patterns could shift the answer by a degree in either direction. One degree is the entire difference between outcomes here.

The odds right now

• 21°C39%
• 20°C38%
• 19°C8%
• 18°C2%
• 16°C1%
• 15°C or below0%
• 17°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 25°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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