Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 15?

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will the coldest moment of June 15, 2026 feel like in the Seoul area? Specifically, it's tracking the single lowest temperature recorded at Incheon International Airport that day. The three options — 17°C, 18°C, or 19°C — represent roughly 62°F to 66°F, which is a mild, early-summer range. A 'Yes' on any option simply means the overnight or early-morning low on that specific day lands within that degree. After June 15, 2026 ends, the market settles based on the coldest temperature reading logged that day at Incheon Airport's weather station, sourced from Weather Underground. The number is rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius — so 18.7°C would count as 19°C. One important detail: any corrections to that day's data are accepted until the first reading of June 16 is published, after which the record is locked in, even if Weather Underground later revises it. No recent news was provided that's relevant to this market. That's not unusual — a single weather reading more than a year away isn't something headlines cover. What would matter closer to the date is the short-range weather forecast for Seoul around June 14–15, 2026, particularly whether a cold front or rainy period is moving through the region. The market strongly favors 19°C, at 97%. The main uncertainty here isn't really a debate between two equal sides — it's simply whether something unexpected, like an unseasonable cold snap, pushes the low into 18°C or below. Mid-June in Seoul is typically warm and humid, which is why cooler outcomes look unlikely. But weather a year out is inherently unpredictable, and even well-established seasonal patterns get disrupted by passing fronts or unusual pressure systems.

The odds right now

• 19°C98%
• 18°C1%
• 17°C1%
• 16°C0%
• 15°C0%
• 13°C or below0%
• 14°C0%
• 20°C0%
• 21°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 15, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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