Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?

What you need to know

This market is asking: on the night and morning of June 14, 2026, what will the coldest recorded temperature be at Shanghai's Pudong Airport? It's a weather forecast question, not about politics or events. A result of 20°C means the coldest point of that day stays around a warm 68°F — a typical early-summer Shanghai night. Lower options like 19°C mean a slightly cooler night; 21°C means it stays a bit warmer throughout. After June 14, 2026 ends, the market checks the official low temperature logged at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on Weather Underground's historical records page — rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whatever single degree that reading shows is the winner. One small edge case: the market waits until the first data point from June 15 appears before settling, to catch any late corrections to the June 14 readings. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. For a weather market like this, what would eventually matter is seasonal forecasts or climate pattern data for Shanghai in mid-June — for example, whether an unusually cool or warm air mass is expected to move through eastern China around that date. That kind of short-range forecast only becomes meaningful a week or so before June 14, 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to forecast more than a few days ahead, and this market closes over a year from now — making any prediction today essentially a guess based on historical patterns alone. Mid-June in Shanghai is early summer, so overnight lows clustering between 19–21°C matches the historical range, which is why those three options hold nearly all the odds. The real uncertainty is simply that weather varies, and a passing weather system could push the reading outside the expected range.

The odds right now

• 20°C92%
• 19°C7%
• 18°C1%
• 17°C or below0%
• 21°C0%
• 22°C0%
• 23°C0%
• 24°C0%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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