NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
What you need to know
This market is asking: who will be named the best player of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? The Conn Smythe Trophy is the award given every year to the single most valuable player during the playoff run — not the regular season, just the postseason. The player who wins it is usually someone whose performance was the biggest reason their team won the Stanley Cup, though occasionally it goes to a standout player from a losing team. Right now, the market heavily favors Mitch Marner, with Taylor Hall and Jordan Staal much further behind. This market settles on whichever player the NHL officially names as the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy winner, as long as that happens before midnight ET on June 30, 2026. If the playoffs are cancelled or run past that deadline, the market resolves to a catch-all category called 'Other' — meaning no individual player wins the payout. One small edge case: if somehow two players tied and both were named winners, the market would go to whichever player's last name comes first alphabetically, which is an unusual rule worth knowing. None of the news provided is relevant to the 2026 NHL Playoffs or the Conn Smythe Trophy. The headlines are about film, music, finance, and international diplomacy — unrelated to this market. To track this one, you'd want to watch for NHL playoff results, player injury news, and standout performances as the postseason progresses toward the Stanley Cup Finals. The Conn Smythe is genuinely hard to predict because it depends on playoff performance, which hasn't happened yet — or is still unfolding. A player can look like a front-runner and then get injured or have their team eliminated early. Marner is priced at 56%, a strong lean but far from certain. The trophy can also go to a surprising breakout performer nobody expected. Playoff hockey is high-variance: one hot goalie or an unexpected team run can completely shift who wins this award.
The odds right now
- Mitch Marner+14.5 pts (1w)55%
- Taylor Hall-9.0 pts (1w)16%
- Jordan Staal+13.0 pts (1w)14%
- Logan Stankoven+5.5 pts (1w)13%
- Jackson Blake+0.1 pts (1w)4%
- Nikolaj Ehlers-13.8 pts (1w)4%
- Brett Howden+0.8 pts (1w)2%
- Jack Eichel-10.1 pts (1w)1%
- Seth Jarvis-1.3 pts (1w)1%
- Sebastian Aho-0.5 pts (1w)0%
- Linus Ullmark0%
- Quinn Hughes0%
Price history
Mitch Marner
How this resolves
Resolves July 1, 2026
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- Mitch Marner55%
- Taylor Hall16%
- Jordan Staal14%
- Logan Stankoven13%
- Jackson Blake4%
- Nikolaj Ehlers4%
- Brett Howden2%
- Jack Eichel1%
- See all 49 outcomes →
Trade this market on Paridesk — non-custodial, 0.5% fee.
View & trade →