# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

What you need to know

This market is asking: when MrBeast posts his next full YouTube video, how many people will watch it within the first 24 hours? The three options are 25–30 million views, 30–35 million views, or 35–40 million views. A 'Yes' on the leading bracket means his next video lands between 30 and 35 million views on day one — roughly the size of the entire population of Canada watching in a single day. Once MrBeast posts his next full-length YouTube video (not a Short, not a preview), the market waits the full 24 hours, then checks the public view counter on his channel. Whichever bracket that number falls into wins. If the number lands exactly on a boundary — say, exactly 35 million — it rounds up to the higher bracket. If he posts nothing by June 30, 2026, the market automatically settles on the lowest bracket (25–30M), regardless of what you'd expect him to do. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of development that would matter here is anything affecting MrBeast's posting schedule, a major platform change on YouTube, or a new video already released — since the market clock starts the moment his next full video goes live. MrBeast's view counts vary meaningfully from video to video depending on topic, thumbnail, timing, and how long he's been away from posting. A longer gap between videos tends to drive higher first-day numbers due to pent-up audience interest. The market currently leans heavily toward 30–35M, but viral spikes can push counts into the next bracket quickly, and a quieter video can underperform expectations. The main genuine uncertainty is how unpredictable any single video's performance is, even for the world's most-watched creator.

The odds right now

• 30–35M71%
• 25–30M20%
• 35–40M12%
• 40–45M1%
• 20–25M1%
• <20M0%
• 45–50M0%
• 50M+0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 14, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Related

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