SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

What you need to know

This market is asking: when SpaceX goes public, what will its stock cost at the very first moment it starts trading? A 'Yes' for the $150–$200 bracket means the opening price lands in that range on day one — not later that day, not the closing price, but the official opening price. The brackets are mutually exclusive, so only one wins. There is also a special outcome if SpaceX never actually lists by end of 2027: the market settles as 'No IPO before 2028' instead. The market settles on whichever price bracket matches SpaceX's official opening share price on its first trading day, as recorded by the primary exchange. If the price falls exactly on a boundary — say, exactly $150 — it goes to the higher bracket ($150–$200). If SpaceX never holds an IPO by December 31, 2027, the whole market resolves to 'No IPO before 2028' rather than any price bracket. That 'no IPO' outcome would make all the price brackets irrelevant, which is worth knowing going in. Recent headlines suggest SpaceX's IPO is happening right now, around the time this market closes in June 2026. One headline specifically claims the IPO has made Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire, which would imply a very large market valuation. However, headlines alone do not confirm the official opening price or which bracket it lands in — the exact number is what this market hinges on, and that detail is not confirmed in the provided news. The core uncertainty here is simply which bracket the opening price lands in. The market currently places 61% odds on $150–$200, 30% on $100–$150, and 10% on $200–$250 — so the crowd leans toward the middle range, but nearly four-in-ten see it going lower or higher. IPO opening prices are notoriously hard to pin down: pre-market hype, investor demand on the day, and last-minute pricing decisions can all push a stock above or below expectations, sometimes dramatically.

The odds right now

• $150-$20079%
• $100-$15014%
• $200-$2507%
• $250+2%
• <$1002%
• No IPO before 20280%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 13, 2026

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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