What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch — even for one minute — a specific level before the end of 2026. There are three separate price targets shown: $45,000, $50,000, and $55,000. Each one is its own Yes/No question: did Bitcoin reach that price at any point during the window? It doesn't matter where Bitcoin finishes the year — only whether it briefly touched the target price at least once, on Binance specifically. Each market resolves Yes the moment a single one-minute price candle on Binance's BTC/USDT chart touches the target — either reaching up to it (for upward targets) or down to it (for downward targets) — before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If Bitcoin never touches that level on Binance before the deadline, it resolves No. One important detail: only Binance BTC/USDT data counts. A price spike on Coinbase or another exchange would be ignored entirely. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to Bitcoin's price or crypto markets. There's no recent crypto-specific news to draw on here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be major regulatory announcements, shifts in U.S. monetary policy, large institutional moves into or out of Bitcoin, or significant exchange-related news. Bitcoin is genuinely difficult to forecast — it has historically swung 50% or more within a single year, in either direction. The targets here ($45k–$55k) represent a wide range, and the market currently prices the $55,000 target at 64%, meaning the market sees it as more likely than not — but far from certain. The year-long window gives more time for a touch to happen, which raises odds, but macro shocks, regulatory surprises, or broader market crashes could all change the picture quickly.

The odds right now

• ↓ 60,00092%
• ↑ 65,00084%
• ↓ 55,000+13.0 pts (1w)79%
• ↑ 70,00076%
• ↑ 75,00062%
• ↓ 50,000+9.0 pts (1w)61%
• ↓ 45,000+5.0 pts (1w)44%
• ↑ 80,00039%
• ↑ 85,00037%
• ↓ 40,000+3.0 pts (1w)32%
• ↑ 90,000-5.5 pts (1w)27%
• ↑ 95,00024%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Related

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