What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?
What you need to know
This market asks whether the price of U.S. Natural Gas futures will touch specific price levels at any point during June 2026 trading sessions. There are three separate targets: will the price rise to $3.40 (52% odds), rise to $3.60 (31% odds), or fall to $3.00 (44% odds)? Each is an independent Yes/No question — 'Yes' means the price touched or crossed that level even briefly, 'No' means it never did during the entire month. Each target resolves Yes the moment a single one-minute price bar touches or crosses that level during any official June 2026 trading session — even one brief spike counts. The data comes from Pyth, a real-time market data feed tracking CME Natural Gas futures. If the price never reaches a target across the whole month, it resolves No. One important edge case: only prices during official trading hours count, and holiday or special-session changes can shift those windows slightly. None of the provided news headlines relate meaningfully to Natural Gas prices or energy markets. There are no relevant recent developments to point to here. The kinds of news that would matter for this market include U.S. storage reports, unusual weather forecasts, LNG export disruptions, or major shifts in industrial energy demand. Natural Gas is one of the most volatile commodity markets — prices can swing sharply on a single cold snap, a surprise storage report, or a heat wave hitting a major region. June is typically a shoulder season with moderate demand, which can keep prices calmer, but unexpected weather events can change that fast. The $3.40 upside target sits near even odds at 52%, meaning the market sees this as genuinely a coin flip, making confident prediction very difficult.
The odds right now
- ↑ $3.40-2.5 pts (1w)54%
- ↓ $3.00-29.5 pts (1w)43%
- ↑ $3.60-4.5 pts (1w)26%
- ↓ $2.80-4.5 pts (1w)19%
- ↑ $3.80-6.5 pts (1w)11%
- ↓ $2.60-3.0 pts (1w)9%
- ↑ $4.00+1.0 pts (1w)7%
- ↓ $2.40-0.8 pts (1w)6%
- ↓ $2.00-1.1 pts (1w)4%
- ↓ $2.20-1.2 pts (1w)4%
- ↑ $4.20-2.1 pts (1w)3%
- ↑ $4.40-0.6 pts (1w)3%
Price history
↑ $3.40
How this resolves
Resolves July 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to that contract's last trading session, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month. For example, if the last business day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month is a Thursday, the last trading session is the session for the prior Tuesday, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- ↑ $3.4054%
- ↓ $3.0043%
- ↑ $3.6026%
- ↓ $2.8019%
- ↑ $3.8011%
- ↓ $2.609%
- ↑ $4.007%
- ↓ $2.406%
- See all 13 outcomes →
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