What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

What you need to know

This market asks whether the price of U.S. crude oil will touch certain price levels at any moment during July 2026. Three separate yes/no questions are running side by side: will oil briefly touch $80 per barrel or higher, $85 or higher, or $65 or lower? Each is independent — you're not picking one winner, you're judging whether oil will even graze that level for a single minute during the month, not whether it stays there. Each price target resolves Yes if, at any point in July 2026, the high or low of even a single one-minute price candle touches or crosses the listed level — so a brief spike or dip counts, even if prices immediately bounce back. The data comes from Pyth, a real-time market feed tracking the active WTI futures contract. If oil never trades at all that month, every target resolves No. One edge case worth knowing: the 'active contract' can quietly roll over to the next month's futures near the end of July, so late-month prices may reflect a different contract. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would be OPEC+ production decisions, changes in U.S. oil supply or demand data, major geopolitical events affecting oil-producing regions, and shifts in global economic growth expectations — all of which can move crude prices sharply. Oil prices are genuinely difficult to forecast over a multi-month horizon because they respond to so many unpredictable forces at once — OPEC production choices, economic slowdowns, conflict, sanctions, and sudden demand shifts. The market currently prices the $80 touch at 45%, $85 at 23%, and a drop to $65 at 22%, suggesting real uncertainty in both directions. Oil can move $10 or more in a month, so even a target that seems distant today could be reached by a single sharp move — or never approached at all.

The odds right now

• ↑ $80+21.5 pts (1w)44%
• ↑ $85+13.5 pts (1w)24%
• ↓ $65-41.0 pts (1w)22%
• ↑ $90+8.6 pts (1w)11%
• ↑ $95+6.2 pts (1w)8%
• ↓ $60-17.1 pts (1w)4%
• ↑ $100+2.9 pts (1w)4%
• ↑ $105+0.8 pts (1w)2%
• ↑ $110+0.4 pts (1w)1%
• ↓ $55-0.9 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $115+0.1 pts (1w)1%
• ↑ $1201%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 1, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

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