What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

What you need to know

This market asks whether the price of WTI crude oil — the standard US oil benchmark — will touch specific price levels at any point during June 2026. There are three separate questions bundled here: will oil drop below $85, will it drop below $80, or will it rise above $100? Each is its own Yes or No. Think of it like asking whether a thermometer will cross a certain mark at any moment during the month — even briefly counts. Each price level settles Yes if oil futures even briefly touch or cross that level during any one-minute window in June 2026 trading sessions — it only needs to happen once, for a single minute. The check uses precise price data from a service called Pyth, which tracks futures prices in real time. If Pyth has a technical outage, official CME exchange data serves as a backup. If oil never trades at all in June 2026, everything resolves No. The deadline is the end of June 30, 2026. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would be OPEC production decisions, major shifts in global economic growth expectations, geopolitical tensions affecting oil-producing regions, or significant changes in US energy policy — any of these can move oil prices sharply. Oil prices are notoriously difficult to forecast over a year out. The three levels span a wide range — $80 to $100 — reflecting genuine disagreement about where oil goes. The market currently prices the $85 downside touch at 79% and the $100 upside touch at 37%, suggesting participants lean toward lower prices but see real upside risk too. A single surprise — a supply cut, a recession signal, a geopolitical flare-up — can move oil by $10 or more in weeks. June 2026 is still far enough away that almost anything could shift the picture.

The odds right now

• ↓ $85+45.5 pts (1w)75%
• ↓ $80+6.0 pts (1w)44%
• ↑ $100-34.0 pts (1w)37%
• ↑ $105-28.5 pts (1w)21%
• ↓ $75-31.0 pts (1w)20%
• ↑ $110-20.0 pts (1w)14%
• ↓ $70+2.0 pts (1w)10%
• ↑ $115-38.0 pts (1w)10%
• ↓ $65+0.5 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $120-11.0 pts (1w)6%
• ↑ $125-5.5 pts (1w)5%
• ↑ $130-4.6 pts (1w)3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 30, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

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