What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What you need to know

This market is asking which specific TV show will land in the second-most-watched spot on Netflix in the United States for a given week. Yes or No doesn't apply here — instead, you're picking which show takes that #2 slot. Right now, the market is almost entirely convinced that a show called 'The Witness' will hold that position, with 'Sweet Magnolias: Season 5' as a distant alternative and 'Michael Jackson: The Verdict' barely registering. Netflix publishes its official US Top 10 TV list every Tuesday on top10.netflix.com, and the update expected on June 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM Eastern Time is what settles this market. Whichever show Netflix ranks at #2 that day — based on total US views from the previous Monday through Sunday — wins. One important edge case: if Netflix doesn't publish that update before June 19, 2026 at midnight, the market automatically resolves to 'Other' regardless of which show was actually popular. None of the provided recent news headlines are relevant to this market. They cover topics like human trafficking policy, tech stock naming, a shark attack, and an upcoming Indian Netflix drama — nothing about US Netflix viewership or the shows listed here. To track this market, you'd want to watch for any Netflix viewership data, early buzz reports, or entertainment industry coverage mentioning 'The Witness' specifically. The market is heavily one-sided — 97% for 'The Witness' — so the realistic uncertainty here is not a close competition between shows, but simply whether something unexpected disrupts that outcome. A surprise breakout from another show, a sudden drop in 'The Witness' viewership, or a data quirk in how Netflix counts views could shift the ranking. At this confidence level, the main question is just whether the near-certain outcome holds, not whether two real contenders are neck and neck.

The odds right now

• The Witness96%
• Sweet Magnolias: Season 54%
• Michael Jackson: The Verdict0%
• Raw (June 8, 2026)0%
• Nemesis0%
• The Boroughs0%
• The Four Seasons: Season 20%
• Lawmen: Bass Reeves0%
• Tony H.: Man of the People0%
• Outlast: The Jungle0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 17, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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