What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: which Netflix show will Americans watch the most in a given week? Every week, Netflix publishes an official chart of its most-watched TV shows in the US. This market asks which title lands at the very top of that chart. A win for 'Michael Jackson: The Verdict' means it was the single most-watched Netflix TV show in America that week. A win for any other title means it beat the Michael Jackson show to that number-one spot. Netflix publishes its official US Top 10 TV list at top10.netflix.com, and the update expected on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 around 3:00 PM ET is the one that decides this market. Whatever show Netflix ranks #1 in the US for that week's viewing data — counting Monday through Sunday — is the winner. One important edge case: if Netflix does not publish that update at all by June 19, 2026, the market settles as 'Other' instead of any named show. None of the provided news headlines relate to Netflix, streaming viewership, or any of the shows listed in this market. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development that would matter is anything about the Michael Jackson documentary's release date, early viewership buzz, or a surprise competitor show launching on Netflix around the same time. The market is almost entirely one-sided — it currently prices 'Michael Jackson: The Verdict' at 98%, leaving almost no room for a different outcome. At that level, the honest uncertainty is not really 'who wins' but rather whether something unexpected disrupts it: a technical issue with the Netflix chart, a surprise hit nobody anticipated, or an unusually strong performance by another title. Heavily lopsided markets like this can still be wrong — they just rarely are.

The odds right now

• Michael Jackson: The Verdict90%
• Sweet Magnolias: Season 51%
• The Witness1%
• Outlast: The Jungle0%
• Tony H.: Man of the People0%
• The Four Seasons: Season 20%
• Raw (June 8, 2026)0%
• The Boroughs0%
• Nemesis0%
• Lawmen: Bass Reeves0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 17, 2026

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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