When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin will reach a price of $150,000 USD before the end of 2026. A Yes means Bitcoin climbs to that level at some point before the deadline — even briefly, for just one minute. A No means it never touches $150k during that window. Right now, Bitcoin would need to roughly double from where most people picture it sitting in mid-2026 for this to happen. The market settles Yes the moment a single one-minute price candle on Binance's BTC/USDT trading pair shows a high of $150,000 or more — even once, even for a second — before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If that never happens, it resolves No. One important edge case: only Binance's BTC/USDT pair counts. If Bitcoin hits $150k on Coinbase or another exchange but not on Binance in that specific pair, it still resolves No. None of the provided news headlines are relevant to this Bitcoin market — they cover an unrelated walking story and an Indian stock buyback. There is no recent crypto-specific news to draw from here. The kinds of developments worth watching would be major regulatory changes, large institutional moves into Bitcoin, or significant macroeconomic shifts that historically affect crypto prices. Bitcoin's price is genuinely difficult to forecast even weeks out, let alone 18 months. The market currently prices the December 2026 outcome at just 7%, meaning participants collectively see it as unlikely — but Bitcoin has surprised in both directions before. Key unknowns include regulatory developments, broader economic conditions, shifts in institutional demand, and simple market sentiment swings. The June 2026 version sits at essentially 0%, reflecting how far away $150k feels on the current timeline.

The odds right now

• by December 31, 20267%
• by June 30, 2026-0.1 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2027

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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