White House # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times does the official White House account on X (formerly Twitter) post during one specific week in June 2026? A 'Yes' on the leading bracket means the account posts 200 or more times in that seven-day window — which works out to roughly 28 or more posts per day. The lower brackets (180–199, 140–159) would resolve Yes if the count lands in those ranges instead. It's not about what is said, just how often. The final count is pulled from a third-party tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com, which automatically counts all main-feed posts, reposts, and quote posts made by @WhiteHouse between June 12 at 12:00 PM ET and June 19 at 12:00 PM ET. Replies don't count, unless they appear on the main feed. One important edge case: deleted posts still count, as long as the tracker caught them within about five minutes of posting. If the tracker fails, X itself becomes the backup source. One headline from June 15 stands out: Trump's 80th birthday reportedly included a publicized Iran peace deal and White House cage-fights — both the kind of high-profile, event-driven moments that typically push the White House account to post heavily. Major news events almost always spike social media activity for official accounts. That said, the same headline appears five times in the feed, which may just be a data duplication rather than five separate stories. The market is priced at 97% for 200-plus posts, so the crowd is not treating this as a close call — the main uncertainty is simply whether something unusual happens to slow posting down, like a technical outage, a quieter-than-expected news cycle, or an unplanned gap. At that confidence level, inventing a real tug-of-war between outcomes would be misleading. The genuine question is just how unlikely the unexpected is, not whether the two sides are evenly matched.

The odds right now

• 200+97%
• 180-1992%
• 140-1591%
• 160-1790%
• 100-1190%
• 120-1390%
• 20-390%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 19, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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