White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple counting question: how many times will the official White House account post on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week? The three outcomes are ranges — fewer than 160 posts, 160–179 posts, 180–199 posts, or 200 or more posts. Right now the market leans toward a very active week, with nearly half of participants expecting 200 or more posts and most of the rest expecting 180–199. A tracking tool at xtracker.polymarket.com will count every original post, quote post, and repost made by @WhiteHouse from noon ET on June 9 to noon ET on June 16 — exactly seven days. Replies do not count, unless they appear on the main feed. Deleted posts still count if the tracker caught them within about five minutes. Whichever count range the final number falls into wins. The tracker is the official judge; X itself is only used as a backup if the tracker fails. The news from this week points to an unusually busy stretch for the White House. Trump is attending the G7 summit, held separate talks with India's Prime Minister Modi, hosted a UFC event at the White House, and is involved in ongoing ceasefire diplomacy. Each of these is the kind of high-profile moment that typically drives a surge in official social media activity — announcements, reposts of coverage, and real-time updates all tend to spike around major events. The honest challenge here is that social media posting volume is genuinely unpredictable day to day. A single slow weekend, a technical outage, or a shift in communication strategy could push the total down, while a fast-moving news event could push it up sharply. The market is already heavily weighted toward the two higher ranges (180+ posts), so the main open question is whether this week lands in the 180–199 band or clears 200 — a gap of just a few posts per day.

The odds right now

• 200++29.5 pts (1w)51%
• 180-199+7.0 pts (1w)48%
• 160-179-32.1 pts (1w)5%
• 120-139-27.5 pts (1w)0%
• 140-159-23.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 16, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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