What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 8 2026?

What you need to know

This market asks whether the SPY exchange-traded fund — which tracks the S&P 500 and trades like a stock — will touch specific price levels during the trading week of June 8–12, 2026. There are separate yes/no questions for each price target: $750 (12% odds), $755 (5% odds), and $720 (3% odds). A 'Yes' means SPY actually reaches that price at some point that week during normal market hours. A 'No' means it stays below (for high targets) or above (for low targets) the whole week. Each target resolves Yes if, at any moment between Monday June 8 and Friday June 12 during regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET), SPY's price touches or crosses the listed level — even briefly, within a single minute. The data source is Pyth, a real-time price feed using 1-minute candles. One important edge case: pre-market and after-hours price moves do not count, even dramatic ones. If Pyth's data is unavailable, the official daily high or low from the exchange is used as a backup. No relevant financial news was provided for this market. To follow this question, the most useful things to watch would be broad economic reports, Federal Reserve announcements, or major geopolitical events between now and June 2026 — any of which could move the S&P 500 significantly in either direction. A full year separates us from this deadline, which makes this genuinely hard to price. SPY currently trades well below $750, so reaching that level would require a substantial rally — but markets can move dramatically over 12 months in either direction. The $720 target being at just 3% odds suggests the market sees a drop to that level as unlikely but not impossible. Over this time horizon, recessions, rate changes, earnings surprises, and global events are all real wildcards that no one can reliably forecast.

The odds right now

• ↑ $7508%
• ↓ $7153%
• ↑ $7653%
• ↓ $7202%
• ↑ $7552%
• ↑ $7602%
• ↓ $7102%
• ↓ $7052%
• ↑ $7700%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 12, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Related

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