World Cup: Group I Last Place

What you need to know

This market is asking: which team will finish dead last in Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? The group contains Iraq, Senegal, and Norway, and after each team plays the others, whoever ends up at the bottom of the standings loses this question — meaning they collected the fewest points and were effectively eliminated first from their group. Once the Group I matches finish (scheduled for June 11–27, 2026), the team ranked last in the final standings resolves this market as Yes for their name. If two or more teams are tied at the bottom, FIFA's official tiebreaker rules decide it — things like goal difference, then goals scored, and so on. One important edge case: if the group stage is cancelled or produces no official result before July 11, 2026, the market settles as 'Other' instead of any team name. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 FIFA World Cup or the teams in Group I. To track this market, the developments worth watching would be match results from Group I games, injury news for key players, and any official FIFA standings updates as the group stage plays out in June 2026. The market heavily favors Iraq at 81%, which reflects a real gap in competitive strength — Iraq is ranked considerably lower than Senegal and Norway in FIFA world rankings. At that level of confidence, the main genuine uncertainty is whether something unexpected shifts things: a surprise result, a key injury, or an unusual group-stage performance. Senegal and Norway are not seen as equally likely to finish last, but upsets do happen, and three-team group dynamics can produce surprising final standings.

The odds right now

• Iraq+1.5 pts (1w)81%
• Senegal-4.0 pts (1w)12%
• Norway-2.0 pts (1w)7%
• France-0.1 pts (1w)3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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