World Cup: Neymar Goals

What you need to know

This market is asking how many goals Neymar will score at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, split across three thresholds. There are three separate yes/no questions bundled here: will he score at least 1 goal, at least 2 goals, or at least 3 goals? A 'Yes' on the '1+' line means he scores at least once during the tournament. A 'Yes' on '3+' means he scores at least three times. The higher the bar, the harder it is to reach — which is why the odds drop from 34% to 11% as the number goes up. Each line settles as Yes if Neymar's official goal tally at the tournament meets or beats that number, based on FIFA's official scoresheet. Only goals scored during regular play, added stoppage time, or extra time count — goals in penalty shootouts do not count, and neither do own goals. If Neymar doesn't play in the tournament for any reason — injury, not selected, anything — all three lines resolve No. One unusual rule: if the World Cup itself is cancelled or severely delayed past August 2, 2026, the markets resolve to '50-50' rather than Yes or No. None of the news provided is relevant to this market. There are no recent headlines about Neymar, Brazil's national team, or the 2026 World Cup. The things worth watching for would be: news about Neymar's fitness and club form leading into the tournament, whether Brazil's coaching staff include him in their squad, and any injury updates in the weeks before the World Cup begins. The biggest single uncertainty is simply whether Neymar plays at all. He has had serious injury problems in recent years, and his fitness and form heading into the tournament are genuinely unclear. Beyond that, even a fully fit Neymar scoring 3+ goals requires a deep tournament run for Brazil and goals in multiple matches — that's a lot of things to go right. The market pricing reflects this: a roughly one-in-three chance he scores even once signals real doubt about his participation and impact, not just his finishing.

The odds right now

• 1+34%
• 2+20%
• 3+11%
• 4+4%
• 5+3%
• 6+2%

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Neymar scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Neymar does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Neymar scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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