World Cup: Player to be in Germany's Starting 11

What you need to know

This market asks whether a specific German footballer — Kimmich, Schlotterbeck, or Musiala — will actually be on the pitch when Germany kicks off their very first game at the 2026 World Cup. Not on the bench, not warming up, not named in a squad list — physically starting the match. A Yes means they played from minute one. A No means anything else: injured, benched, or a last-second substitution before kickoff. The market settles Yes only if the player is on the field at kickoff of Germany's first group stage game at the 2026 World Cup. There is one important edge case: if a player is named in the starting lineup but has to leave before the whistle — say, due to a sudden injury in the warmup — that still counts as No. Only boots on the grass at kickoff counts. FIFA's official records are the primary source, and the deadline for confirmation is June 29, 2026. None of the provided news stories are relevant to this market — they cover gaming, sailing, film, and history. There is no recent news here to draw on. The kind of developments worth watching would be injury reports for these players in the weeks leading up to Germany's opening game, or any signals from the German manager about his preferred lineup. At 98–99%, the market is treating these as near-certainties — and for good reason. All three players are established pillars of the German national team. The main remaining risk is not tactical disagreement but the unexpected: a muscle injury in training, illness in the days before the match, or a last-minute warmup problem that forces a change. Those things are rare but real. The closer to match day, the smaller that window of uncertainty becomes.

The odds right now

• Joshua Kimmich99%
• Nico Schlotterbeck99%
• Florian Wirtz99%
• Jamal Musiala98%
• Aleksandar Pavlović98%
• Nathaniel Brown98%
• Jonathan Tah98%
• Manuel Neuer98%
• Leroy Sané97%
• Kai Havertz97%
• Felix Nmecha89%
• Deniz Undav12%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves June 21, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Germany's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player is officially announced as part of the starting lineup but is replaced before the game begins for any reason, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". Only players that are on the pitch at kick off will be counted toward a "Yes" resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of Germany's official 1st match starting lineup for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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