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2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026·$6.1k 24h vol·politics
$11.8k total volume·Open for 3 days

2nd hottest

59%+18.0%
OutcomeYesNo
2nd hottest
1st hottest
3rd hottest
4th or lower

Order Book

2nd hottest

PriceSharesTotal
72.0¢223$161
70.0¢123$86
69.0¢223$154
68.0¢123$84
67.0¢123$82
66.0¢223$147
65.0¢173$112
64.0¢324$207
63.0¢221$139
62.0¢78$48
37.0¢last trade
7.0¢ spread
55.0¢10$6
54.0¢20$11
52.0¢55$29
50.0¢470$235
30.0¢150$45
27.0¢60$16
26.0¢90$23
24.0¢412$99
23.0¢282$65
18.0¢905$163
$692 bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record. Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

2nd hottest

59%