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CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$53 24h vol·politics
$71.8k total volume·Open for 131 days

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

24%+3.5%
OutcomeYesNo
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Order Book

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

PriceSharesTotal
35.0¢110$39
34.0¢10$3
33.0¢10$3
32.0¢100$32
31.0¢10$3
30.0¢10$3
29.0¢10$3
28.0¢10$3
27.0¢695$188
26.0¢24$6
79.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
21.0¢210$44
16.0¢120$19
10.0¢166$17
9.0¢154$14
8.0¢8$1
7.0¢138$10
4.0¢6$0
3.0¢300$9
2.0¢7$0
1.0¢750$8
$121 bids$283 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

24%