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EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·economy
2 comments·$1.4k total volume·Open for 145 days

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

16%-25.0%
OutcomeYesNo
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Order Book

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢262$186
69.0¢286$197
65.0¢200$130
64.0¢219$140
42.0¢431$181
33.0¢5$2
32.0¢16$5
22.0¢36$8
21.0¢22$5
20.0¢8$2
8.0¢ spread
12.0¢30$4
11.0¢41$5
10.0¢12$1
8.0¢25$2
6.0¢98$6
5.0¢185$9
4.0¢100$4
3.0¢400$12
2.0¢500$10
$52 bids$855 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

16%