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F1: Action of the Year

F1: Action of the Year

Resolves Dec 13, 2026·$405 24h vol·sports
$164.5k total volume·Open for 128 days

Kimi Antonelli

51%+7.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Kimi Antonelli
Charles Leclerc
Lewis Hamilton
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
Max Verstappen
Nico Hulkenberg
Fernando Alonso
Arvid Lindblad
Liam Lawson

Order Book

Kimi Antonelli

PriceSharesTotal
74.0¢5$4
72.0¢20$14
71.0¢20$14
70.0¢11$8
69.0¢11$8
68.0¢11$7
67.0¢45$30
62.0¢50$31
61.0¢30$18
60.0¢6$3
18.0¢ spread
42.0¢31$13
27.0¢6$2
25.0¢6$2
22.0¢135$30
20.0¢30$6
9.0¢5$0
8.0¢87$7
7.0¢12$1
5.0¢10$1
1.0¢432$4
$65 bids$138 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The 2026 F1 Action of the Year market on Polymarket shows volume heavily concentrated on a small cluster of drivers, with Kimi Antonelli the heaviest-backed contender, followed closely by Oliver Bearman and Valtteri Bottas. Max Verstappen and Nico Hülkenberg also attract significant backing in a field of 33 named outcomes. The market resolves to whichever driver wins the Action of the Year award at the 2026 FIA Awards ceremony, with a deadline of 13 December 2026.

Top odds: 53%$164.5k volume33 outcomes

Market structure

The market spans 33 named driver outcomes plus an 'Other' fallback. Volume is heavily concentrated on a small cluster at the top, though backing is more broadly distributed beneath those leaders than is typical of performance-based F1 markets. Resolution is determined by the official FIA Awards result for the 2026 season. The deadline is 13 December 2026. If no winner is declared by that date or the season is cancelled, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Background

The FIA Action of the Year award is a fan-voted accolade presented at the annual FIA Prize Giving ceremony, recognising a single piece of on-track action — typically an overtake, defensive move, or dramatic moment — from the concluded Formula 1 season. Unlike championship or constructor markets, this award is determined by public vote rather than sporting merit alone, meaning that moments with broad fan appeal, high television exposure, or social media virality tend to accumulate support. The 2026 FIA Awards ceremony is scheduled to take place before 13 December 2026. The award has historically been dominated by high-profile overtakes or wheel-to-wheel battles involving prominent drivers, but it has also been won by lesser-known names when a memorable moment captures widespread attention.

Key factors

Because this award is fan-voted, several structural factors shape the outcome. First, the volume of on-track incidents involving a given driver across the season directly influences the pool of eligible nominated moments. Second, media amplification matters: moments broadcast widely or circulated extensively on social media generate a larger potential voter base. Third, the nomination shortlist selected by the FIA prior to voting determines which moments are even eligible, creating a gatekeeping step entirely separate from race results. Fourth, drivers who change teams or retire mid-season may attract sympathy or heightened attention that could be reflected in nominated moments. Fifth, the distribution of the 2026 season's most dramatic races — whether title fights, collisions, or recovery drives — will define which drivers are associated with memorable action. Sixth, the broad spread of backing across multiple drivers in this market reflects genuine uncertainty about which moment will emerge as the season's most celebrated.

FAQ

How is the 2026 F1 Action of the Year market resolved?

The market resolves to whichever driver wins the Action of the Year award at the 2026 FIA Awards ceremony. The primary source of truth is official FIA information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the event of multiple winners, the driver whose surname comes first alphabetically resolves the market.

When does the 2026 F1 Action of the Year market resolve?

The resolution deadline is 13 December 2026. The FIA Awards ceremony is expected to take place before that date. If no winner is declared within the timeframe — due to postponement or cancellation of the season — the market resolves to 'Other'.

What happens if the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled or the FIA Awards are postponed?

If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, or if the FIA Awards ceremony is postponed beyond 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET such that no winner is declared within that window, the market resolves to 'Other' regardless of any partial season results.

What does the 2026 F1 Action of the Year market currently show?

Volume is heavily concentrated on Kimi Antonelli as the heaviest-backed contender, with Oliver Bearman and Valtteri Bottas also attracting substantial support. Max Verstappen and Nico Hülkenberg hold notable backing, while a large cluster of drivers including Franco Colapinto, Isack Hadjar, and Charles Leclerc occupy the mid-range of the market.

Paridesk is not a regulated financial advisor. The information above is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction markets carry risk of total loss. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Kimi Antonelli

53%