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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Resolves Jul 29, 2026·$38.6k 24h vol·economy
$452.2k total volume·Open for 109 days

Pause–Pause–Pause

78%-13.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause
Other
Pause–Pause–Cut

Order Book

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PriceSharesTotal
87.0¢305$265
86.0¢749$644
85.0¢43$37
84.0¢1.0k$840
83.0¢100$83
82.0¢120$98
81.0¢6.0k$4.9k
80.0¢12.9k$10.3k
79.0¢9.0k$7.1k
78.0¢2.1k$1.6k
23.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
77.0¢550$424
76.0¢8.5k$6.4k
75.0¢13.7k$10.2k
74.0¢20.1k$14.8k
73.0¢1.0k$730
72.0¢15$11
71.0¢300$213
70.0¢255$178
68.0¢50$34
67.0¢300$201
$33.3k bids$25.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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78%