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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

Resolves Jul 5, 2026·$270 24h vol
$270 total volume

12

44%-5.5%
OutcomeYesNo
12
14
11
≤8
>14
10
13
9

Order Book

12

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢3.0k$3.0k
98.0¢35$35
97.0¢25$24
94.0¢20$19
93.0¢59$54
92.0¢65$60
91.0¢30$27
90.0¢13$12
84.0¢55$46
80.0¢ spread
4.0¢6$0
3.0¢33$1
2.0¢5$0
1.0¢16$0
$2 bids$3.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

12

44%