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How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Resolves Sep 20, 2026·$0 24h vol·politics
$28.4k total volume·Open for 146 days

340–354

33%+15.0%
OutcomeYesNo
340–354
325–339
355+
310–324
280–294
<280
295–309

Order Book

340–354

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢766$544
69.0¢405$280
68.0¢215$146
62.0¢45$28
61.0¢100$61
52.0¢190$99
50.0¢5$3
49.0¢95$47
42.0¢113$48
40.0¢100$40
14.0¢ spread
26.0¢30$8
25.0¢43$11
24.0¢208$50
23.0¢500$115
21.0¢300$63
20.0¢1.0k$200
18.0¢500$90
16.0¢390$62
15.0¢3.0k$450
11.0¢500$55
$1.1k bids$1.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

340–354

33%