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How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

Resolves Jun 8, 2026·$1.3k 24h vol
$1.9k total volume·Open for 30 days

<200

72%+6.0%
OutcomeYesNo
<200
200–229
230–259
350–379
320–349
290–319
260–289
380–410
410+

Order Book

<200

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢15$14
98.0¢100$98
97.0¢6$6
96.0¢200$192
95.0¢75$72
93.0¢140$130
92.0¢9$8
90.0¢21$19
89.0¢137$122
88.0¢40$35
80.0¢last trade
37.0¢ spread
51.0¢39$20
50.0¢100$50
14.0¢346$48
3.0¢100$3
2.0¢11$0
$122 bids$697 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

<200

62%