Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Prediction markets are currently pricing Hyperbeat's token launch FDV across multiple thresholds, with the $50M outcome drawing the heaviest concentration of volume. The market structure spans five FDV targets — $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, and $400M — each resolving independently based on whether Hyperbeat's token price multiplied by total supply exceeds that figure at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after launch. If no token launches by 31 December 2026, all outcomes resolve No.

Market structure

Five independent Yes/No markets test whether Hyperbeat's Fully Diluted Valuation exceeds $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, or $400M respectively, measured one day post-launch. Volume is heavily concentrated on the lowest threshold ($50M), with progressively thinner backing at higher tiers. Resolution uses the most liquid available price source. The hard deadline is 31 December 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which any unresolved market resolves No regardless of future token activity.

Background

Hyperbeat is a project operating in the blockchain and crypto token space, active on X (formerly Twitter) at @hyperbeat. Token launch FDV markets have become a common instrument on prediction platforms, allowing traders to express views on the relative scale of a new token's debut valuation rather than its directional price movement. FDV — calculated as total token supply multiplied by current price — is a standard metric used to benchmark new crypto assets against established projects at the moment of launch. These tiered threshold markets are particularly sensitive to launch timing, exchange listing depth, and prevailing sentiment in the broader crypto market at the time of the token's debut.

Key factors

Several structural factors bear on resolution across the FDV thresholds. First, the timing of the token launch relative to the 31 December 2026 deadline determines whether any resolution is possible at all — a delayed or cancelled launch sends every outcome to No. Second, the definition of launch requires active, public transferability and tradeability, meaning restricted or private distributions do not trigger the measurement window. Third, FDV is calculated using total token supply, so tokenomics design — particularly the ratio of circulating to fully diluted supply — can produce FDV readings that diverge sharply from market capitalisation figures. Fourth, the measurement point is fixed at 4:00 PM ET the calendar day following launch, meaning post-launch price volatility in the intervening hours directly affects which thresholds are crossed. Fifth, liquidity depth at the resolution moment determines which price source is treated as authoritative, introducing potential sensitivity to where and how the token is listed.

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