← Markets
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$2.0k 24h vol·politics
$2.0k total volume

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

36%-7.0%
OutcomeYesNo
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Order Book

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

PriceSharesTotal
57.0¢1.1k$633
56.0¢1.7k$944
55.0¢100$55
50.0¢100$50
48.0¢222$107
45.0¢222$100
44.0¢129$57
43.0¢300$129
42.0¢90$38
41.0¢40$16
56.0¢last trade
12.0¢ spread
29.0¢8$2
28.0¢100$28
27.0¢10$3
26.0¢10$3
25.0¢97$24
24.0¢1.0k$240
23.0¢20$5
22.0¢1.0k$222
21.0¢1.1k$236
20.0¢25$5
$768 bids$2.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

36%