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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Resolves Jul 1, 2026·$66 24h vol·geopolitics
$66 total volume

June 30

85%+1.0%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30
June 22

Order Book

June 30

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢133$131
98.0¢39$38
95.0¢47$45
94.0¢13$13
92.0¢152$140
8.0¢last trade
16.0¢ spread
76.0¢15$11
75.0¢6$5
70.0¢100$70
69.0¢130$90
68.0¢253$172
65.0¢100$65
51.0¢70$36
50.0¢200$100
41.0¢109$45
40.0¢200$80
$673 bids$367 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

June 30

84%