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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$8.2k 24h vol·politics
$8.2k total volume

July 31

79%+31.5%
OutcomeYesNo
July 31
July 17
July 10

Order Book

July 31

PriceSharesTotal
90.0¢496$446
88.0¢496$436
87.0¢503$438
86.0¢24$20
85.0¢496$422
84.0¢951$799
83.0¢1.5k$1.2k
82.0¢1.2k$959
81.0¢572$463
80.0¢137$109
78.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
78.0¢20$16
77.0¢62$48
76.0¢65$49
75.0¢20$15
63.0¢160$101
62.0¢220$136
61.0¢388$237
60.0¢200$120
56.0¢250$140
55.0¢875$481
$1.3k bids$5.3k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

July 31

79%