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Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$34 24h vol·politics
111 comments·$322.0k total volume·Open for 234 days

December 31, 2026

28%+2.5%
OutcomeYesNo
December 31, 2026
June 30, 2026

Order Book

December 31, 2026

PriceSharesTotal
71.0¢25$18
69.0¢226$156
68.0¢106$72
67.0¢58$39
66.0¢10$7
50.0¢25$13
40.0¢25$10
39.0¢18$7
32.0¢10$3
30.0¢30$9
70.0¢last trade
5.0¢ spread
25.0¢84$21
21.0¢10$2
11.0¢100$11
8.0¢8$1
7.0¢110$8
6.0¢200$12
5.0¢511$26
1.0¢32$0
$80 bids$333 asks

Resolution Criteria

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

December 31, 2026

28%