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Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026·$0 24h vol·politics
7 comments·$15.8k total volume·Open for 123 days

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

5%+0.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Order Book

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

PriceSharesTotal
67.0¢800$536
66.0¢224$148
60.0¢1.2k$742
58.0¢167$97
53.0¢11$6
20.0¢269$54
19.0¢14$3
7.0¢117$8
6.0¢3.0k$179
5.0¢2.8k$139
1.0¢ spread
4.0¢3.6k$145
3.0¢1.1k$34
2.0¢3.4k$68
1.0¢8.7k$87
$334 bids$1.9k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Mangione is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Mangione is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". If Mangione participates in a successful jailbreak or is otherwise liberated from state custody for any length of time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Mangione to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

5%