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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$301 24h vol·tech
$301 total volume

June 30

84%+33.5%
OutcomeYesNo
June 30
June 26
June 19
July 31
June 5
June 12

Order Book

June 30

PriceSharesTotal
99.0¢217$215
98.0¢131$128
97.0¢50$48
91.0¢71$65
25.0¢last trade
15.0¢ spread
76.0¢6$5
75.0¢20$15
69.0¢100$69
8.0¢15$1
7.0¢36$3
6.0¢67$4
5.0¢20$1
3.0¢12$0
2.0¢1.0k$20
1.0¢1.8k$18
$136 bids$456 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

June 30

84%