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Paris heat wave by July 31?

Paris heat wave by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026·$162 24h vol
$171 total volume·Open for 3 days

Paris heat wave by July 31?

67%+15.5%
OutcomeYesNo
Paris heat wave by July 31?

Order Book

Paris heat wave by July 31?

PriceSharesTotal
98.0¢500$490
96.0¢180$173
95.0¢172$163
35.0¢last trade
55.0¢ spread
40.0¢7$3
39.0¢48$19
38.0¢26$10
28.0¢210$59
26.0¢600$156
20.0¢1.0k$200
9.0¢5$0
5.0¢125$6
3.0¢250$8
2.0¢688$14
$474 bids$826 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station is greater than or equal to 35 degrees Celsius for all of 3 consecutive calendar days by July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on the relevant days for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded for each date within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Paris heat wave by July 31?

66%