Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Resolves Jan 1, 2028·$270 24h vol·crypto
9 comments·$112.9k total volume·Open for 88 days
$500M
39%-9.3%
OutcomeYesNo1W24h Vol
+0.9%
—
+5.5%
$239
+1.2%
—
-1.9%
$11
+0.1%
—
+0.1%
$21
-0.1%
—
-0.3%
—
Order Book
$500M
PriceSharesTotal
87.0¢8$7
86.7¢83$72
86.6¢52$45
83.0¢6$5
82.0¢5$4
79.4¢5.0k$4.0k
79.1¢5.0k$4.0k
78.7¢41$32
76.5¢139$107
76.4¢25$19
—
73.6¢ spread2.8¢10$0
2.7¢37$1
1.2¢12$0
1.0¢100$1
0.7¢22$0
0.6¢41$0
0.2¢333$1
0.1¢9.6k$10
$13 bids$8.2k asks
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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